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With treasurys, inverted yields can signal an impending recession. Typically, it signals expectations of slower growth, reduced inflation, or even an economic contraction. When the shorter term treasuries get pushed above the longer term treasuries by the federal funds rate it causes an inverted yield curve

Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. An inverted yield curve reflects investor sentiment about future economic conditions On the infrequent occasions when the yields on longer duration instruments are lower than those of short maturities, the yield curve slopes downward and is said to be inverted

Understanding yield curves—normal, flat, and inverted—helps investors predict economic shifts and recession risks

Learn how each curve shape signals future market trends. It’s a rare phenomenon and usually precedes a financial breakdown The best example is the inversion of yield before the great financial crisis of 2007.

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